HGV Driver Shortage: Causes, Impact, and Practical Solutions
The HGV driver shortage is a persistent problem for UK logistics. Industry forecasts and workforce data show the sector will need many more drivers to meet demand, and that gap is already affecting delivery time, costs and business resilience.
Causes of the HGV driver shortage
The HGV workforce is, on average, older than in many sectors. Recent ONS data (updated 27 January 2026) shows most drivers fall into the 36-65 age range, with far fewer in the youngest groups. At the same time, the Road Haulage Association forecasts a need for around 40,000 new HGV drivers each year over the next five years, creating demand for 200,000 drivers. Training and test capacity have not kept pace with the need, and the time it takes to qualify new drivers makes it hard to close the gap quickly. Changes in labour supply, working conditions and how people view driving as a career also limit the pool of applicants.
How the HGV driver shortage is affecting businesses
Businesses face real operational pressure from the HGV driver shortage. Fewer drivers lead to more delayed deliveries, more reliance on expensive overtime and agency staff, and less resilience at peak times. Smaller companies often feel this most because they don’t have a large in-house recruitment function. The result is higher costs and less certainty for customers and suppliers.
What is being done
There are national and industry efforts to increase the number of drivers. Training programmes and targeted recruitment campaigns aim to bring new people into driving roles. The RHA highlights the need to expand DVSA testing capacity and training places to allow more people to qualify. Employers are also improving pay, working patterns and driver welfare to attract and keep staff. These steps help, but they will take time to have a full effect.
Practical steps employers can take now
Employers can reduce risk by planning and using practical measures. Work out likely staffing needs for the year and for seasonal peaks; offer sponsored or supported training to bring people through quickly; use specialist recruiters to find vetted candidates and to place temporary staff where you need them; improve facilities; offer clearer progression; and reviewing pay and rostering can also make roles more attractive and increase retention.
What this means for drivers
For drivers and people considering a driving career, the shortage means more job options and better negotiating power. Employers are more likely to offer training, quicker starts and clearer routes for progression. Candidates who hold the required licences and CPC training will be in demand.
Future outlook
The HGV driver shortage will not be solved overnight. Demographic trends and current forecasts point to sustained demand in the coming years. However, increasing training capacity, improving industry image, and employer-led retention measures can narrow the gap. Technology and automation will change parts of logistics, but human drivers will remain essential for many routes and deliveries.
The HGV driver shortage is a long-term industry challenge, but it also creates opportunities for employers who act now and for drivers who are ready to enter the sector. Kenect Recruitment works with businesses and drivers across the UK to help fill roles, support training and improve retention.